Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision Countdown: Tonight the probability of 'holding steady' is over 95%
Tonight will bring a wave of major market movements! Are you ready?
The cumulative probability of a rate cut exceeding 25 basis points in June is approaching 30%!
At 2 AM Beijing time on May 8, the Federal Reserve is about to announce its latest interest rate decision. The latest market data shows that in this decision, the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut in May is only 4.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level is as high as 95.6%.
In June, the uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction still exists. According to market probability models, the possibility of maintaining the interest rate in June is 70.3%; if the Federal Reserve chooses to adjust the interest rate, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 28.5%, while the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points is as low as 1.2%. Major fluctuations are expected tonight; are you ready to strategize together?