#FOMCMeeting The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve meets today and tomorrow (May 6 and 7, 2025) to decide on interest rates. Forecasts suggest that the central bank will keep the interest rate unchanged within the current range of 4.25% to 4.50%, amid ongoing anticipation regarding the impact of new tariffs on the U.S. economy.

Key updates:

1- High likelihood of holding: The "CME FedWatch" tool indicates that the likelihood of a rate cut at this meeting does not exceed 1.8%, reinforcing expectations of holding.

2- Political pressures without response: Despite President Trump's repeated calls for rate cuts to support economic growth, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, pointing to inflation risks stemming from the new tariffs.

3- Market anticipation: Markets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, are reacting cautiously to the decision expectations. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have dropped, while gold has risen by more than 2% supported by a weak dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets.

Lastly, some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates beginning in July, especially if the effects of the tariffs begin to negatively impact inflation and the labor market. But so far, there are no strong indicators of sufficient economic weakness to justify an immediate rate cut.