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鳄鱼莱莱
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#BTC
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1.根据市场预期和美联储声明,美联储于本次会议上决定维持联邦基金利率在4.25%–4.50%不变。会议没有发布新的经济预测点阵图(下次更新时间为6月会议),声明措辞与先前相似,继续强调“就业市场稳健、通胀略高于目标”等观点。FOMC按兵不动的决定印证了先前就业数据的强劲表现,同时显示美联储在关税不确定性阴影下依旧保持谨慎观望。 2.新闻发布会中,鲍威尔的语气被普遍视为偏鸽。市场分析师指出,如果鲍威尔强调经济下行风险(而非通胀压力),将进一步强化降息预期。他曾表示“一切行动选项都摆在桌面上”,市场据此推测美联储未来或将寻求降息。Crypto市场观察者认为,若此次讲话倾向鸽派,比特币价格将得到提振;若偏鹰派,则可能承压。 3.历史数据显示,比特币在FOMC会议前动能往往趋缓,会议后价格波动显著增强。分析师认为:如果鲍威尔讲话偏鸽,比特币可能突破短期阻力,向10万美元附近发起冲击;反之若偏鹰派,比特币短线可能回落到约9.1万美元附近。总的来看,本次会议公布后比特币或出现剧烈震荡,波动率较高。 #最近的一笔交易 #比特币预测
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