There are always people who say I'm foolish, advising me not to 'sour grapes'. But today I want to seriously discuss why I insist on being bearish on $AKR.

The Ark project aims to build an application ecosystem for cryptocurrency, which sounds good, but it doesn't matter how appealing the story is when the market doesn't buy it.

Last Saturday, I chose to ambush a short position for a simple reason: by looking at the candlestick chart, one can see six consecutive long upper shadows in the middle of last month—it's too obvious that the market maker is manipulating the price (I've discussed how to distinguish between true and false with my core partners in private). At that time, I judged that a new round of decline was about to begin, so I decisively positioned myself.

Yesterday, some partners wanted to take profits after doubling their investment, but I suggested holding on a bit longer. Why? Because data doesn't lie—Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $424 million in a single day, while ARK's funds were flowing out at $6.14 million. This divergence already indicates a problem, and the decline will only accelerate. Sure enough, the market validated that judgment. When opportunities arise, one must remain calm; when there is data to support a decision, it can be wise to take a bigger risk.

Of course, I’m not a god, and I can’t be right every time. But behind an over 85% win rate is a lot of data analysis and market observation, not just random guesses. If you don’t understand the technology, can’t interpret the news, and no one shares these key data with you, it’s really time to calm down and improve your understanding. The market always rewards those who are serious, not those who are stubborn.