#FOMCMeeting

The Rate Cut Mirage: Still Just a Fed Fantasy

Investors, brace yourselves — or better yet, don’t hold your breath. According to CME’s FedWatch tool, there’s a whopping 2.7% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in May. That’s right, about the same odds as spotting a unicorn on Wall Street.

The market’s favorite soap opera — “When Will the Fed Pivot?” — drags on, with rate cut expectations getting postponed more often than your gym plans. Meanwhile, crypto and risk assets continue to oscillate between euphoria and despair like teenagers on a sugar crash.

So what should investors do? Maybe stop building portfolios around Jerome Powell’s mood swings. Focus on fundamentals, rebalance toward assets with real use cases, and don’t bet your stablecoins on fairy-tale monetary easing.

The Fed isn’t coming to save you — not in May, and maybe not anytime soon. It’s time to trade like adults.