【Warning!】The economic crisis of 2025-2026 is coming, signs of recession are already showing!⚠️
The end of 2025 to early 2026 may be the most difficult time for the economy. Analyzing the Kondratiev economic cycle, my side job has gradually become my main job, and the real economic data cannot be ignored—China Telecom and China Mobile's growth rates have stagnated, accounts receivable have surged, and working capital has significantly decreased, putting immense survival pressure on businesses!
At the same time, the weakness of the three major economic pillars: consumption, investment, and exports, has put the economy in an unprecedented predicament. Declining income, rising unemployment, and heavy pressure from real estate loans have greatly restricted household consumption capacity. The investment and local government debt crisis have also darkened the outlook.
Now we have entered the recession phase of the fifth Kondratiev cycle, a stage of deep economic contraction. Historically, the shadows of the Great Depression and stagflation loom over us; the current days are likely just the tip of the iceberg.
With the full outbreak of the tariff war at the end of 2025, the impact at the beginning of 2026 will become apparent. Businesses and governments will face waves of layoffs, entering a neutral recession mode. Persevere, endure the winter, and spring will eventually come. But before that, crises abound!