$BTC Mid-line Trend Analysis
Market Review:
- Currently in a state of consolidation following a downtrend
- Overall trend: Uptrend → Pullback → Consolidation → Failed breakout → Retest, currently in observation zone
Key Structure:
- The recent uptrend has formed a platform consolidation with gradually lower highs and maintained lows;
- After the downtrend, a rebound has occurred, potentially forming a small-level central structure;
- Current price is fluctuating between 94,000-95,400, likely to form a 'central consolidation structure' in the process of building a secondary central structure, pay attention to future breakout expectations.
Trend Expectations:
- If there is a subsequent breakout above the 95,500-96,000 pressure zone, then the downtrend at the four-hour level ends, with a chance to form a three-buy structure
- If it breaks down through 93,000-93,500 again, the trend weakens, and the market will further consolidate or retrace
- The market is primarily consolidating at high levels, regardless of whether it is an uptrend or downtrend, focus on volume to prevent false breakouts and false breakdowns
Operational Strategy:
Short-term bullish strategy, if it breaks and holds above 95,800, can lightly chase long positions, target around 97,000
Medium-term bullish strategy, wait for the continuation of the four-hour level consolidation, with the overall expectation of consolidation > breakout > retest without breaking > another surge, as a key layout direction
If it breaks below 93,000, then stay in cash and observe, waiting for the market to form a structure
