1. Price at the bottom of the range (2.586 USDT) — critical zone.
- If it bounces: entry in long up to 2.688 (testing resistance).
- If it breaks: target 2.55 (next liquidity level).
2. RSI 31.5 — close to oversold, but it's not a fact that there will be a bounce.
- Filter: waiting for the candle to close above 2.590 + increase in volumes.
3. MACD is negative — the trend is weak, but if DIF (blue line) turns upwards — growth is possible.
Specific plan
- Scenario 1 (Buy):
- Trigger: price rebounds from 2.586, RSI starts to rise (e.g., to 35+).
- Entry: 2.590–2.595.
- Targets: 2.638 → 2.688.
- Stop: 2.565 (below the local minimum).
- Scenario 2 (Sell):
- Trigger: price breaks 2.586 and settles below.
- Entry: 2.580–2.575.
- Targets: 2.55 → 2.50.
- Stop: 2.605 (above the breakout level).
What is important?
- Volumes: Make sure that during the breakout/bounce they are above average — this will confirm the strength of the movement.
- Timeframe: If trading intraday, use 15M–1H for precise entry points.
Result: Currently, FIL/USDT is on the verge of a decision — either a bounce from the bottom or a continuation of the fall. We are waiting for a clear signal based on volumes and candle closure.