ETH/BTC has reached 0.01900 support which marked many major reversal points in past market cycles
If the pair rises again it could reach the 0.06000 macro trendline which has held since 2018
A rejection from that trendline may lead to a strong market shift and possible drop below 0.01700
Ethereum’s price against Bitcoin has returned to a long-term support level near 0.01900, a zone that previously triggered sharp reversals. If the pair bounces here, a potential altseason may follow before facing major resistance at the macro downtrend line. The outcome could shape the final stages of this crypto cycle.
Source: X Support Level at 0.01900 Mirrors Historic Cycle Patterns
Analyst Mags published a chart on May 3, 2025, showing ETH/BTC reaching a support level that has held through prior cycles. This same area around 0.01900 marked crucial turning points during earlier market bottoms, including recoveries in 2019 and 2020. The pattern suggests Ethereum could again strengthen versus Bitcoin in the short term.
The support zone appears to be acting as a platform for a possible upward retracement. If confirmed, Ethereum could see gains relative to BTC before hitting the multi-year descending trendline. Historically, such rallies have coincided with increased performance in altcoins—a phase commonly referred to as “altseason.”
Previous ETH/BTC rallies from similar levels often produced strong moves across major altcoins. This recurring setup has drawn increased attention from market participants. With ETH/BTC now stabilizing near 0.01900, traders are closely watching for early signals of trend reversal.
Altseason Setup Forms Ahead of Macro Trendline Test
If Ethereum rebounds off this level, it may approach the long-standing downtrend resistance formed since 2018. The descending line has rejected every major rally in the ETH/BTC pair over the past five years. Based on the chart shared, another touch is expected near the 0.05500–0.06000 zone.
A breakout has not occurred in any cycle since 2017, which adds significance to this potential retest. The chart projection outlines a possible ETH rally followed by rejection and a peak. The timing suggests that such a move could develop over the next 12 to 18 months.
Crypto observers noted that this pattern may reflect a final burst in altcoin dominance before a broader market decline. The trendline remains unbroken, serving as the dividing line between bull extension and macro rejection. Traders are preparing for volatility as the pattern unfolds.
Will ETH/BTC Rejection Lead to a New Crypto Bear Market?
The chart outlines that after touching the macro trendline, ETH/BTC may sharply reverse, leading to a prolonged bear market. This scenario aligns with historical macro-cycle behavior, where final rejections at resistance zones preceded multi-year declines. The pattern marks a potential transition point for the entire crypto market.
A projected drop below 0.01700 in the ETH/BTC pair suggests a high risk of breakdown. The forecast implies Ethereum may lose ground to Bitcoin in the next cycle stage. If confirmed, altcoins could underperform for an extended period starting in 2026.
The chart also projects the rejection peak to occur near the end of 2026. As this scenario plays out, investors are watching both Ethereum’s strength and the broader market response. Can the ETH/BTC pair defy this long-term pattern, or is this the start of a deeper reversal across crypto markets?