Bitcoin holding over $93,460 could be the key for a possible run toward the $132,330 resistance level
If BTC breaks under $93,460 short holders may sell and this could bring the price closer to $72,420
Traders are watching the current zone as the price sits in between major cost zones from short holders
Bitcoin’s current position at $96,951 places it above the pivotal $93,460 level identified by analysts. This threshold is based on the Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis. Holding above it could propel prices toward $132,330. However, slipping below could open the door to a sharp drop, with $72,420 as a potential support.
Source: X $93,460: The Line Between Accumulation and Risk
Data shared by on-chain analyst Ali on May 4 pinpoints $93,460 as a decisive level for Bitcoin's next move. According to Glassnode's STH analysis, this value represents the mean cost basis for recent buyers.
Bitcoin's ability to stay above $93,460 is interpreted as strong short-term holder confidence. This metric has proven influential in previous cycles, guiding bullish and bearish reversals. When BTC trades above this line, holders are in profit, and sentiment tends to remain optimistic.
The chart published shows a clear upward trend since early 2023, punctuated by periods of consolidation around the cost basis bands. It includes three critical lines: STH Cost Basis ($93,460), STH Cost Basis +1σ ($132,330), and STH Cost Basis -1σ ($72,420). These levels define the potential price zones for short-term holder behavior.
$132,330 Within Reach or $72,420 Imminent?
Crypto trader AB noted that Bitcoin maintaining levels above $93,460 signals strong short-term bullish pressure. As BTC hovers near $97,000, surpassing this support could clear the path to $132,330, the upper bound of the STH band.
Glassnode data positions $132,335 as the cost basis plus one standard deviation, historically marking peak euphoria zones. If bullish momentum persists, this price could be tested in the near term. Several users on social media echoed this optimism, citing both historical chart behavior and recent market resilience.
However, market volatility remains a looming threat. If BTC falls below the $93,460 threshold, sentiment may quickly shift bearish. In this case, the lower band—$72,423—becomes a likely downside target, representing the cost basis minus one standard deviation.
This drop would imply a correction of more than 25%, triggering concern among short-term holders. One user commented they would consider buying the dip if prices retreat to $72K, suggesting potential support from bottom buyers.
Critical Levels Dictating Market Sentiment
With BTC consolidating around $97,000, the next few days are seen as crucial. The $93,460 line is not only technical but psychological. It signals profitability for new holders, shaping how long they may be willing to hold or sell.
At the time of analysis, short-term holder euphoria and capitulation indicators registered 0.0, showing neutral sentiment. This neutrality often precedes large directional moves in either direction. The black line on the chart—BTC’s price—hugs closely to the red cost basis band, suggesting pressure is building.
So, can Bitcoin hold above $93,460 long enough to ignite a breakout to $132,330, or will it face a steep reversal? The market awaits the answer, with short-term holders playing a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory.
