$BTC

Market Analysis on May 4, 2025 (Not Investment Advice)

BTC/U 1-Hour Chart Observation (Binance Perpetual Contract)

I. Structure Overview:

Bitcoin surged to the 95,850 level yesterday but encountered resistance, forming a typical 'rising wedge structure'; subsequently, a clear breakdown occurred, and it is currently in a downward adjustment channel.

II. Key Points from the Chande Theory Perspective:

1. Uptrend Segment (Red Line):

• Strongly moving upward from the bottom of the consolidation range, with a smooth rhythm;

• The highest point formed an 'a segment rise + top divergence' exit signal.

2. Adjustment Segment (Yellow Line):

• The current trend has entered the b segment decline;

• A 3-segment decreasing structure has formed, which is in the short-term bearish dominant phase.

3. Recommended Operation Range (marked in the chart):

• Short Entry: 95,734 U;

• Stop Loss Position: 96,404 U (previous peak);

• Target Position: around 95,137 U to 94,850 U;

• Risk-Reward Ratio: approximately 2.26, manageable risk.

III. Conclusion:

A short-term bearish structure is established; unless it re-establishes above 96,400 U, it is inclined to continue testing the previous low support.

Divergence + Breakdown + Downward Central = Short Logic Established. Pay attention to changes in trading volume and K-line combinations to confirm the replenishment rhythm.