Brothers, a bull market without liquidity is just playing rogue!
These old foxes from the Federal Reserve are now playing a "psychological game".
While saying "inflation is not fully controlled yet",
Body secretly glancing at the White House's mood, interest rate cut in June? No way!
Just look at the recent non-farm payroll data, the job market is more excited than being injected with steroids,
Those analysts on Wall Street are now getting their faces slapped.
But where’s the interest in this matter?
Powell is now like someone being roasted over a fire,
Trump curses every day on Twitter,
The big shots on Wall Street are calling every day for a rate cut,
Ordinary people see prices rising faster than wages.
Even more absurd is that now even the big beautiful country is starting to hoard Bitcoin,
Isn't this clearly showing a lack of confidence in the dollar?
The current crypto circle feels like a large-scale cultivation site, institutions are hugging Bitcoin,
keeping the price stubbornly above 90,000. What about those altcoins?
Like someone who lost their parents, half-dead. Why?
There’s only this much money! The Federal Reserve's faucet is tightly shut.
If no new money comes into the pool, it’s bound to play tricks like "robbing Peter to pay Paul".
You see SOL, which claims to be the "Ethereum killer", isn’t it also wilting now?
This market trend is like a big clearance sale before a market closes,
Good goods have long been snatched up, what’s left are rotten vegetable leaves.
Let's take another look at Trump's "tariff stick",
This mad dog collected over 17 billion in tariffs in April,
On the surface, it seems to alleviate the debt crisis of the big beautiful country,
At the same time, it also achieved trade protection for its own country,
But in reality, compared to the rapidly skyrocketing debt,
It’s simply a drop in the bucket, and more hilariously,
The tariffs collected are nothing compared to the losses suffered from being blocked by countries worldwide.
it’s simply picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons.
But what’s the most outrageous operation?
This guy has been vigorously promoting Bitcoin, you taste it, you think about it.
A president who shouts "America First" every day,
Suddenly interested in decentralized cryptocurrencies,
Isn’t this trying to revolutionize the dollar?
Revolutionizing the dollar is great, the dollar must fall for Bitcoin to have a chance.
At this time, someone will ask, since Bitcoin has taken off,
When will the "zombie" market for altcoins come?
Playing with altcoins now is like dancing on a grave.
Watching the excitement, but it could be buried at any time.
Old investors know, this thing will eventually bring a wave of zombie market, when?
But we need to look at two signals: First, the Federal Reserve really opened the faucet,
Second, these altcoins need to die a little more.
You see XRP, this old hand is now acting dead so professionally.
But don't forget, before the 2017 bull market,
90% of altcoins have fallen to the point where their mothers wouldn't recognize them.
The trend of altcoins is really like a pressure cooker,
The greater the pressure, the harder the explosion will be then.
Now the whole world is secretly doing one thing: digging a grave for the dollar.
RMB oil futures, Russia’s gas settled in rubles,
Middle Eastern princes are flirting with the heavenly dynasty... what’s even more absurd is,
Even the people from the big beautiful country are starting to doubt life.
Those people in Arizona want to hoard Bitcoin as reserves,
Although it was vetoed by the governor, this signal is quite frightening.
What is the most awkward thing for the Federal Reserve right now?
Must maintain dollar hegemony while also wiping the butt of the corrupt government.
The more loudly Trump and Powell perform this duet,
Smart money runs away faster. You go check the gold reserves of various central banks,
Let’s take another look at the institutional holdings of Bitcoin, this is a sign of a coming change!
It’s impossible for an interest rate cut in June now,
The Federal Reserve's "verbal performance" is still ongoing,
The interest rate meeting in July is the lifeline.
If Powell still dares to be tough, U.S. stocks will be the first to crumble.
But if he suddenly changes his tune, Bitcoin could directly break through 100,000.
Currently, the Bitcoin price is near the recent high of 96,000.
Daily MACD maintains a bullish golden cross,
From the perspective of open contracts and funding rates:
Current short positions are concentrated in the 98,700 to 99,500 range,
If the price breaks through, it may trigger a short squeeze and drive a rapid rise.
The confirmable short-term trend is an upward trend,
If it stabilizes at 96,000 and breaks through 98,000,
In the short term, accelerate the impact on the psychological threshold of 100,000.
In terms of macro and market sentiment, institutional capital inflow,
Spot Bitcoin ETF has seen net inflows for several consecutive days,
MicroStrategy and other companies continue to increase their holdings, providing price support.
The key risk factor is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and the leverage ratio approaching 2021 highs,
Often at this time, it is the dog dealers creating black swan events that trigger the risk of corrections.
Ethereum price has also risen above 1830,
On-chain data 2.0 staking volume continues to increase,
Currently, it has reached 32.1 million coins,
Net outflows from exchanges show that long-term holders’ confidence has not diminished.
DeFi regulatory impact: UK FCA plans to ban crypto asset collateralized loans,
it may weaken the TVL (Total Value Locked) and staking rewards of the Ethereum ecosystem.
Vitalik proposed a plan to simplify the Ethereum protocol, which may improve network efficiency in the long term.
But in the short term, we need to pay attention to the effects of the Pectra upgrade.
If Ethereum breaks 1850 in the short term,
Expected to leverage Bitcoin's rise to test 1920,
The key variables and time window are
1. Federal Reserve policy: May interest rate decision statement and Powell’s speech,
If a rate cut signal is released, it will be favorable for risk assets.
2. Geopolitics, the easing or worsening of Sino-U.S. trade relations,
May affect the crypto market through stock market linkage.
3. Ethereum Pectra upgrade (mid-May) and progress of Bitcoin L2 ecosystem,
Decides medium- to long-term competitiveness.
Alright, that’s all for today. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and follow the big crocodile.
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