Written before BTC breaks 150,000 USD

I don't want to talk again about how much BTC will rise in the future; I'm just speculating on what is likely to happen based on the existing information. Trading is essentially about studying probabilities (one is the win rate, and the other is the odds).

From the global M2 liquidity over the past four months, we have already entered QE. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve is still pretending to conduct QT, other countries' printing presses are already running at full capacity. The Chinese yuan unexpectedly appreciated in the past two days, indicating that the US dollar index still has to fall. M2 first enters gold, then the stock market and BTC, and finally risk assets (ETH and altcoins, etc.)

We are currently in a process where one phase has just ended and the second phase has just begun. Moreover, based on the speculation that BTC's volatility is three times that of gold, this round of BTC's increase may exceed everyone's expectations. If BTC rises more than 100% by June and breaks 150,000, I wouldn't be surprised.