Three Possible Scenarios That Could Trigger the Next Round of Significant Price Increase
1. The momentum ratio rises above 1.0 and holds, indicating a potential rebound to the range of $150,000 to $175,000.
This scenario is similar to the historical breakout phases of 2017 and 2021, when decisive breakthroughs in key indicators triggered sustained bullish trends.
2. In January and October, there was an increase in activity among short-term holders (those holding tokens for 1 day to 1 week), which preceded significant price increases. This behavioral trend has re-emerged in recent days, and I believe it typically indicates that the market is preparing for larger fluctuations.
3. If the current trend aligns with past cycles, then Bitcoin may be preparing to break through the $100,000 mark and enter a new upward trend.
