#加密市场反弹
#BTC Key Breakthrough Level Game
1. Technical Signals
- Bollinger Band Squeeze: The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour level have narrowed to historical extremes, with volatility dropping to a two-year low, making a breakout imminent. If it stabilizes above $95,870, the target is $114,230 (MVRV pricing model); if it falls below $93,198, it may pull back to $90,500.
- Capital Flow: Bitcoin ETF has seen net inflows for two consecutive weeks (totaling over $4 billion), whale addresses have increased their holdings to a year-high level, and the inventory of BTC on exchanges has dropped to a 5-year low, intensifying supply constraints.
2. Operational Strategies
- Bullish Breakout: If the 4-hour closing price > $95,870, consider entering a long position with a small amount, stop loss at $93,000, target $102,000/$108,000.
- Bearish Defense: After falling below $93,000 and confirming a pullback, enter a short position, stop loss at $95,000, target $88,500/$85,000.
Risk Warning: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is approaching (May 3), be alert to sudden changes in macro sentiment.
"Do you think BTC will break $100,000 this week?"