From Correction to Comeback?

Pi Network (PI), a prominent name in the Web3 landscape, is once again drawing attention following a significant downturn in its token price. After reaching a peak near $3 in February 2025, PI has since declined to approximately $0.61—an 80% retracement. However, market analysts suggest that this sharp correction may be setting the stage for a bullish reversal as the project approaches major milestones.

Token Unlock Triggers Market Pressure

The recent price decline coincided with the launch of Pi Network’s Open Network, which introduced a substantial volume of tokens into circulation. The influx triggered widespread profit-taking among early adopters, generating considerable selling pressure and breaking through several key technical support levels, including the 21-day moving average. While the drop raised concerns among some investors, others view it as a routine phase for emerging blockchain projects transitioning from testnet to mainnet operations.

Strategic Optimism Ahead of Consensus 2025

Despite the downward trend, sentiment around Pi Network is beginning to shift. Several market observers point to upcoming developments that could serve as catalysts for renewed momentum. Notably, Pi Network is a confirmed sponsor of Consensus 2025, one of the largest global events in the blockchain and Web3 sector, scheduled for May 14–16 in Austin, Texas.

Crypto analyst Dr. Altcoin has publicly forecasted a potential rebound for PI, stating:

“Consensus is one of the biggest Web3 events globally. With Pi Network being an official sponsor and its founder, Dr. Nicholas Kokkalis, confirmed as a speaker, we could see a narrative shift and renewed investor appetite.”

Participation in such a high-profile event is expected to enhance Pi Network’s credibility and visibility among institutional players and developers alike.

Technical Outlook: Key Resistance at $1.70

From a technical standpoint, the next major hurdle for PI is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which lies around $1.70—a critical resistance point derived from the February high to the recent April low. Successfully retesting and holding above this level could confirm a trend reversal, offering a potential springboard for further upside, particularly if fueled by positive developments at Consensus.

Mainnet Utility Remains Central to Long-Term Valuation

While short-term market movements may present trading opportunities, experts emphasize that the long-term value of Pi Network will depend on its ability to deliver real-world utility. Key drivers include:

Growth in on-chain transaction volume

Development and adoption of decentralized applications (dApps)

A robust and sustainable economic model

Although Pi has amassed a reported 47 million users, the majority remain on the enclosed mainnet and are primarily engaged in mining simulations. True value realization hinges on the successful transition to an open, fully functional economy with live token usage and merchant integration.

Outlook: A Possible Turning Point

Despite the recent price weakness, many seasoned investors remain optimistic. The combination of a large and engaged community, an imminent mainnet rollout, and increased exposure from industry events suggests that Pi Network may be on the verge of a meaningful recovery.

If the project delivers on its roadmap and regains investor confidence, a return toward the $1.70 level—or beyond—could become a realistic medium-term scenario.

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