As the May Day holiday in 2025 approaches, both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market have become the focus of investors. During the May Day holiday, the A-share market will be closed from May 1 to May 5, while the cryptocurrency market will continue trading. Here are discussions on popular topics in the stock and cryptocurrency markets during the May Day holiday.

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Hot Topics in the Stock Market

1. Holding Stocks or Holding Coins During the Holiday

Every holiday, investors face the choice of holding stocks or holding coins. Currently, the market lacks a clear hot theme, but technology stocks are showing some vitality. Some analysts suggest that investors should pay attention to technology stocks that have not yet accelerated in price, as there is a trend of funds flowing back from broad credit to the technology sector.

2. 'Harvesting Wool' Opportunities in Treasury Reverse Repos

For investors choosing to hold coins during the holiday, treasury reverse repos have become a popular option. Before the May Day holiday, treasury reverse repo operations for one day can be counted as multiple days of interest, with high safety and low thresholds. Investors can engage in 2, 3, or 4-day reverse repos on April 29 to enjoy 7 days of interest.

3. Market Outlook After the Holiday

After the May Day holiday, the market will face many uncertainties. On one hand, global economic conditions and policy changes could affect market sentiment; on the other hand, whether the A-share market can continue its pre-holiday trend is also a major concern.

Hot Topics in the Cryptocurrency Market

1. The Link Between Macroeconomic Data and the Cryptocurrency Market

The correlation between the cryptocurrency market and macroeconomic data is increasingly strong. The U.S. employment report on May 2, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7, and Eurozone economic data on May 15 could all trigger significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market. For example, if U.S. employment data is weaker than expected, it may strengthen market bets on interest rate cuts, thereby boosting cryptocurrency assets.

2. Global Policy Shift and the Cryptocurrency Market

From the European Central Bank to the Reserve Bank of Australia, an increasing number of central banks are leaning towards dovish policies or pausing interest rate hikes, which has driven buying in risk assets, typically benefiting Bitcoin and some altcoins. Investors need to closely monitor the policy dynamics of various central banks to anticipate trends in the cryptocurrency market.

3. Volatility Window Period of the Cryptocurrency Market

The cryptocurrency market operates without rest, and there can be significant volatility even during non-trading peak periods. Investors need to set up hedging, stop-loss, and position management strategies in advance of major economic events. Additionally, high beta cryptocurrency assets (such as DeFi tokens and small-cap coins) tend to experience more drastic fluctuations during market volatility.

4. The Rise of Cryptocurrency ETFs

The emergence of cryptocurrency ETFs has permanently changed the supply and demand dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. Following the record-breaking success of the Bitcoin spot ETF in the United States, institutional investors have flocked to participate. In the future, if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) allows the creation and redemption of ETF shares in physical form, or incorporates staking features, it will further enhance the ETF's attractiveness.

Summary

During the May Day holiday in 2025, both the stock market and the cryptocurrency market face many uncertainties, but they also contain rich investment opportunities. Investors need to closely monitor changes in macroeconomic data, policy dynamics, and market sentiment, and adjust their investment strategies accordingly. Whether choosing to hold stocks or hold coins during the holiday, decisions should be made based on one's risk tolerance and investment goals.

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