What are we really doing when we trade?
I have always said that trading is not about drawing lines, making predictions, or expressing emotions, but about building a system based on statistical advantages and repeatedly executing within favorable probabilistic structures.
The reason I engaged in HIGH is that my market data repeatedly alerted me to keep tracking it. Otherwise, it wouldn’t even be on my radar.
On April 9th, there was unusual market activity, but the trend was downward, and the stop-loss structure was missing, so I gave up; it ended up rebounding 20%;
On April 18th, there was another buy signal, but I was already holding BTC, and my position was full, so I passed again; it subsequently rose 96%;
It wasn't until April 28th that the market data triggered again, the price broke through the EMA, and the lows were raised, creating a favorable odds structure, that I decided to act.
The tweet I sent was based on this trade, which eventually rebounded by 34.89%.
Why did I only act the third time?
Because only this time did the market data and technical structure truly align, with measurable odds, forming an executable signal in my system.
An “active” friend asked how I could even consider such a 'garbage stock,' but this just shows he doesn't understand trading.
If you want to earn excess returns in the market, it has never relied on consensus, but rather on understanding the data, judging the structure, and having the courage to execute at critical moments.
And such opportunities often appear the 'ugliest, most counterintuitive, and even provoke an instinctive physiological aversion.'
Finally, I would like to share a line with friends who are still diligently constructing their systems:
When you have a strategy with a positive expectation, what others say, what the Federal Reserve says, or what the news says is irrelevant, and you don't need to be troubled by one or two trades' profits and losses.
What truly matters is: 'Anchor your decisions in risk, knowing that only stop-losses can protect you,' then mechanically execute every trade that needs to be made, daring to act and execute when no one else understands.