The Mathematical Clockwork Behind Bitcoin’s Collapse
Bitcoin’s future isn’t a mystery—it’s a story already written in the math of its own movement. The Pi Cycle Top Indicator, crafted by Philip Swift in 2019, doesn’t just hint at impending disaster; it announces it with chilling clarity. Built on the collision of two precisely engineered moving averages, it captures the exact moment when greed tilts the market into freefall.
The Mathematics of Madness
At the heart of this instrument lies the tension between short-term exuberance and long-term reality: the 111-day moving average (111DMA) battling the doubled 350-day moving average (350DMA x2). Their ratio—eerily close to the transcendental constant Pi—forms a perfect storm of mathematics and market psychology. When the 111DMA overtakes the 350DMA x2, it’s not a suggestion. It’s a siren blaring that Bitcoin’s rally is burning too hot to survive.
History Doesn’t Whisper, It Roars
The record is brutal and undeniable. In 2013, it foreshadowed a 65% wipeout within days. In 2017, it nailed the top hours before an 84% implosion. In 2021, it screamed just days before a 53% dive. These aren’t accidents; they’re the mechanical breath of a market locked in cycles of ecstasy and collapse.
Ignore the Signal, Pay the Price
The Pi Cycle Top isn’t a theory—it’s Bitcoin’s seismograph, trembling before every crash. Those who dare to dismiss it aren’t making bold bets; they’re standing on fault lines, pretending earthquakes don’t exist.
