Is the 4-Year Crypto Cycle Changing? 🔄 Or Is Liquidity the New Driver? 💧
The traditional 4-year crypto cycle—often linked to Bitcoin halvings—might be evolving.
Classic cycle included:
🐻 Bear Market
⚒️ Accumulation Phase
🚀 Bull Market
🤯 Euphoria Phase
But this time feels different:
⏳ One year after the halving, there’s no clear, broad bull market.
₿ Bitcoin has gained, but many altcoins lag behind.
🏦 Institutional flows and ETFs are playing a larger role, while retail impact appears reduced.
Liquidity may now be the key focus:
🌍 Global liquidity is rising and recently hit all-time highs.
💵 Around $5.5B added so far this year, with potential to reach $12B by year-end.
⌛ Historically, Bitcoin has followed global liquidity trends (like M2) with a 10–12 week lag.
Looking ahead: If liquidity continues to expand, crypto markets 📈 may reflect that momentum.
Time-based cycles still offer context, but liquidity trends could be taking the lead.
