#非农就业数据即将公布 20:30 will announce the US April ADP employment figures.
There are quite a few data points tonight 👇
1. US ADP Employment Figures (to be released at 20:15)
If the data exceeds expectations (previous value 155,000, expected 115,000), it may strengthen the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations, causing the US dollar to rise and directly suppress cryptocurrency prices; weak data may alleviate tightening pressure and provide short-term benefits to the crypto market.
2. US GDP and Core PCE Data (to be released at 20:30)
Initial GDP annualized quarterly rate (expected 0.3%): If significantly higher than expected, it indicates an overheating economy, increasing concerns about interest rate hikes, negatively impacting $BTC , $ETH , etc.
Core PCE annualized quarterly rate (2.6%): If inflation data rises, it strengthens the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, leading to a sell-off of risk assets.
3. Germany's CPI Data (to be released at 20:00)
If inflation exceeds expectations (e.g., harmonized CPI monthly rate initial value above 0.4%), it may boost the euro exchange rate, indirectly suppressing Bitcoin and other risk assets.
4. Market Volatility Period (20:00-20:30)
During the concentrated release of data, the correlation between the US dollar index, US stocks, and the crypto market increases, and high-leverage positions are susceptible to severe volatility shocks, requiring advance risk prevention.
Core Logic: US economic data (ADP, GDP, PCE) directly affects Federal Reserve policy expectations and is the main reason for short-term fluctuations in the crypto market; German inflation and Canadian data have a secondary impact, but chain reactions should still be monitored.
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