#bitcoin
Why do they say it could be $1 Million?**
- **History**: BTC **usually sees its highest price increase** in the 12-18 months following the Halving (once every 4 years) (e.g. 2017 +2,000%, 2021 +700%)
- **Volume decline**: Daily BTC production **decreases by 90%** after the 2024 Halving (previously 900 BTC/day → now 90 BTC/day)
- **Global financial crisis**: US FED rate cuts and dollar depreciation **pushed BTC into a safe haven like gold**
### **2. Requirements to reach $1M**
✔ **Institutional investment increases by 10X** (Demand from spot ETFs like BlackRock, Fidelity continues to rise)
✔ **Global financial system collapse** (Hyperinflation will turn BTC into "Digital Gold")
✔ **Legal clarity** (SEC will consider Altcoins as security, BTC will be more important)
### **3. Experts' predictions**
- **Supporters**: Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) predicts **$1.5M** by 2030, Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) says "BTC is 100x better than gold"
- **Contrars**: Peter Schiff (Gold Investor) "BTC is a bubble, gold is no match"
### **4. Is it really possible?**
🔵 **Bull Case**:
- 2025-2026 Bull Run could reach **$250K-$500K**
- 2030-2032 must **meet the requirements** to exceed $1M
🔴 **Bear Case**:
- Governments pressure BTC with CBDC (Digital Fiat)
- Quantum Computing and BTC Hacking Emergency
### **5. Advice for You**
- **Short-Term (2025)**: Target $100K-$200K, don't be greedy
- **Long-Term (2030+)**: If you expect $1M, **accumulate 10% of BTC with DCA**
- **Note**: BTC has had 4 90% declines, Only invest if you can withstand this kind of crash
*(These estimates are based on PlanB (S2F Model), Stock-to-Flow and history. DYOR!)*
