Bitcoin’s Secret Rally Formula: 3 Key Signals to Watch
Bitcoin has a pattern—and smart investors are watching for it. Historical data shows that BTC tends to surge by at least 50% when three specific conditions align:
1. Low leverage across crypto markets
2. Stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data
3. Hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve
These elements triggered major Bitcoin rallies:
Jan–Mar 2024: BTC climbed from $40K to $73.5K (+84%)
Jan–Feb 2023: BTC jumped from $16.7K to $25.1K (+50%)
Jul–Sep 2021: BTC rallied from under $30K to $52.8K (+76%)
In each case, leverage was low, suggesting cautious sentiment; retail sales outperformed expectations; and Fed comments hinted at tighter monetary policy—all combining to fuel bullish momentum.
Next Watch Dates:
June 17: May retail sales report
June 18: Powell speaks post-Fed rate decision
July 15: June retail data
Aug 21: Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
Traders are eyeing these dates for potential momentum shifts. Will history repeat itself?