通道波段王–百万征途
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$ALPACA I have a bold guess. Normally, a low-IQ market maker would definitely dump assets and leave directly. A smart market maker would raise the price to sell off and slowly exit at a high level.
So, if that's the case, a long position can be opened on the contract side, which means there's no need to crash the market; one can just wait for the contract to be delisted and automatically settle. The spot market can still be taken advantage of once more. It can be said to be killing two birds with one stone.
Therefore, I predict that when the contract is delisted today, the market maker will definitely raise the price. Moreover, if you short, the most you can earn is 99% profit, but if you go long, it's different. If the price goes from 0.2 to 1 at the time of delisting, the return rate is 400%. So raising the price is the most profitable for the market maker; anyway, the position will automatically close, and there’s no need to crash the market. This is the essential reason.
Secondly, from the market perspective, it’s obvious that no one would dare to go long; all the entrants are short positions. If there’s a crash, it’s the platform buying the orders. Therefore, to balance the market, the funding fees will definitely continue to impact -4%, attracting long positions to hedge against the crash risk. But if a crash really occurs, the platform buying might not acknowledge it. However, if there’s a surge, the money from the shorts will easily support the longs, and the rest will belong to the platform. Even if it breaks even, the platform can still earn a lot from liquidation fees.
Finally, think about it again: will the platform stand on the side of retail investors?
"The money from the wealthy is returned in full, while the money from retail investors is split 70-30." You ponder, you consider it deeply!
So, if that's the case, a long position can be opened on the contract side, which means there's no need to crash the market; one can just wait for the contract to be delisted and automatically settle. The spot market can still be taken advantage of once more. It can be said to be killing two birds with one stone.
Therefore, I predict that when the contract is delisted today, the market maker will definitely raise the price. Moreover, if you short, the most you can earn is 99% profit, but if you go long, it's different. If the price goes from 0.2 to 1 at the time of delisting, the return rate is 400%. So raising the price is the most profitable for the market maker; anyway, the position will automatically close, and there’s no need to crash the market. This is the essential reason.
Secondly, from the market perspective, it’s obvious that no one would dare to go long; all the entrants are short positions. If there’s a crash, it’s the platform buying the orders. Therefore, to balance the market, the funding fees will definitely continue to impact -4%, attracting long positions to hedge against the crash risk. But if a crash really occurs, the platform buying might not acknowledge it. However, if there’s a surge, the money from the shorts will easily support the longs, and the rest will belong to the platform. Even if it breaks even, the platform can still earn a lot from liquidation fees.
Finally, think about it again: will the platform stand on the side of retail investors?
"The money from the wealthy is returned in full, while the money from retail investors is split 70-30." You ponder, you consider it deeply!
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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