Below is a detailed technical analysis of BTC/USDT based on 4 timeframes 5p, 15p, 1h, and 4h along with trend evaluation and short-term Future trading strategy:
1. Overview of the last 24 hours
Highest price: ~$95,630
Lowest price: ~$94,200
Narrow volatility after hitting strong resistance area ~$95,600.
Impact news (quick summary):
Money flow from BTC ETFs is slowing down (incoming volume is less).
Fed expected to maintain high interest rates longer → short-term negative impact on crypto.
No surprising macro information → technical trend is dominant.
2. Multi-timeframe technical analysis
5-minute timeframe
Price breaks EMA7, EMA25, and EMA99 strongly to the downside.
RSI(6) = 26.3 → oversold area, but no signs of reversal yet.
MACD: Expanding negatively (DIF < DEA, deep red histogram).
Conclusion: Selling pressure remains strong, need to watch for new reversal signals.
15-minute timeframe
Price just fell below EMA99 ($94,854) → Clear downward signal.
RSI(6) = 16.63 → Deeply oversold, warning of a slight technical rebound.
MACD: Still strongly negative
Conclusion: There is a possibility of a slight rebound (dead cat bounce), but the main trend remains down.
1-hour timeframe
Price breakdown below EMA25 and EMA7 → reversal of the short-term downtrend.
RSI(6) = 25.67 → Still not out of the oversold area.
MACD is crossing down strongly, histogram is expanding.
Near support: ~$93,800.
Conclusion: Downward trend remains, but nearing strong support area.
4-hour timeframe
Price is testing EMA25 (94,273), if it breaks deeply, it will confirm the top distribution pattern.
RSI(6) = 41.33 → neutral but trending down.
MACD has crossed down, red histogram appears evenly.
Major support: ~$91,600 and further ~$89,400.
Conclusion: Short-term trend shifts to down. Possibility of testing the 91–92k area if EMA25 is not held.
3. Short-term Future trading strategy
Preferred strategy: SHORT in the trend
Safe SHORT entry: ~94,650–94,900 (if there is a technical rebound).
Target 1: 93,800
Target 2: 91,600
SL: Close H1 candle above 95,200.
Bottom-fishing buying strategy (high risk, only for scalp 5–15p)
Light LONG entry: 94,100–94,200 (RSI deeply oversold)
Target: 94,600
Tight SL: 93,900
→ Suitable for investors who prefer quick trades.
4. Conclusion
BTC is in a short-term correction phase after failing to surpass the $95,600–$95,800 area.
Need to closely monitor fluctuations around the $94,200 area. If it breaks deeply, the $93,400 and $91,600 areas will be the next support.
RSI and MACD both indicate that the downward pressure is still present, although there may be a short technical rebound.