This is the second time he has proposed a ceasefire within a month, the last being a 30-hour Easter ceasefire on April 19, which was criticized by Ukrainian President Zelensky as a 'fake ceasefire.' This ceasefire coincides with Russia commemorating the Great Patriotic War, marking its 80th anniversary. Putin hopes to showcase a posture of peace through this move while responding to former U.S. President Trump's doubts—Trump had previously publicly questioned Putin's ceasefire motives, believing that Russia may just be trying to placate the international community.
Key Information:
1. Ceasefire Time: From May 8, 00:00 to May 11, 00:00, covering the Russian 'Victory Day' celebrations on May 9.
2. Ceasefire Reason: Commemorating the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Great Patriotic War, the Russian side will hold a grand military parade and international commemorative events.
3. Responding to U.S. Pressure: The Trump administration has recently pressured Russia and Ukraine to negotiate quickly, threatening a possible withdrawal from mediation.
4. Ukraine's Reaction: Zelensky stated that Putin's ceasefire is a 'manipulation of the situation' and demands an immediate comprehensive ceasefire for 30 days, rather than a phased ceasefire.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba stated that if the Russian side truly desires peace, they should ceasefire immediately for 30 days, rather than waiting until May 8.
Russia's Conditions:
Demands Ukraine to ceasefire simultaneously, otherwise will 'make a sufficiently effective response'. Reiterates willingness to engage in unconditional peace talks, but emphasizes that Ukraine must first lift the ban on negotiations with Russia.
International Background:
The United States hopes for a 'permanent ceasefire' between Russia and Ukraine, with Trump expressing disappointment over the slow progress. European countries oppose exchanging territorial concessions for a ceasefire, viewing it as tantamount to 'surrender.'
Event Background:
The Significance of the Great Patriotic War:
On May 9, 1945, the Soviet Union defeated Nazi Germany, a victory that is viewed by Russia as the core of national spirit. This year’s 80th anniversary celebration is unprecedented in scale, with the Russian side inviting leaders from multiple countries, attempting to enhance its international image through the ceasefire.
Controversies Surrounding the Ceasefire:
During the previous Easter ceasefire, both sides accused each other of violating the agreement.
Analysis suggests:
This ceasefire by the Russian side is both a response to international public opinion and may also be an attempt to buy time for adjustments on the front lines.
The Role of the United States:
The Trump administration proposed a peace plan of 'freezing the frontline and Ukraine recognizing Crimea as part of Russia', but it was rejected by Ukraine. The Russian side demanded the lifting of sanctions as a precondition for negotiations, leading to a deadlock.
In Summary:
Putin proposed a three-day ceasefire during the World War II commemorative events, but both Ukraine and the United States did not accept it. The ceasefire is behind a strategic game among Russia, Ukraine, and the United States.
