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$ETH 《2025.5.1：ETH》 ETH结构上继续横盘，观点保持不变，小区间1750~1820，大区间1400~1980。 多头变盘时间窗口上预计还需1~2周。 关注贸易战谈判消息，可能与变盘窗口共振形成趋势扭转点。
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$BTC 《2025.5.1：BTC》 技术面上继续横盘，日级别多头恐慌情绪逐渐消散，多次下方支撑验证有效，重心略微上移。 96000压力仍在继续，下方支撑上移至92000。 昨日数据公布美国GDP开始陷入衰退，关税后劲初显。 美国股指大幅低开后走高，微软、META财报仍超预期，市场韧性较强。 同时我们看到原油、黄金和大宗商品正在崩跌，美元指数正在上涨。 总结来说，市场正在明确押注“衰退压力将很快令特朗普撤销关税，美元资产重获信任”这件事.。 加密货币的预期可能更灵活，买盘成分多样且乐观，目前盘面保持高韧性。 此价格位置想要再上一步，可能仍需等待明确的贸易战缓和，而鲍威尔目前的态度表明降息是难以在高关税下开启的。
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