$ETH
Ethereum (ETH) Next Market Prediction
1. Current Key DataLatest Price:
1811.01 (20:00 - 22:00 slight decline)
Key Support/Resistance Levels:Upper Resistance:1820 (short-term resistance),
1860 (138.2% Fibonacci level),
1899 (161.8% Fibonacci level)
Lower Support:1797 (100% retracement level),
1761 (78.6% retracement level),
1714 (50% retracement level)
Technical Indicators:MACD: If golden cross continues, rebound possible;
If death cross occurs, risk of pullback increases.
RSI: Not overbought (if close to 70, caution for pullback needed).
Volume: Currently average, if volume breaks key levels, trend is more credible.
2. Possible Future Trends
① Fluctuating Upward (Probability 50%)
Conditions: Stabilize above 1820 and break through 1860,
Target 1899-1940.
Signal: MACD golden cross + increased volume, can take a light position long.
② Pullback Correction (Probability 40%)
Conditions: Break below 1797,
May test 1761 (78.6% support) or even 1714 (50% support).
Signal: RSI overbought or MACD death cross, short-term can observe.
③ Sideways Consolidation (Probability 10%)
Conditions: Narrow fluctuation between 1797-1820, waiting for direction choice.
3. Operation Suggestions
Short-term: Breakthrough of 1820 can try long, stop loss at 1797, target 1860.
If breaks below 1797, then observe, wait for low buying opportunities at 1761 or 1714.
Medium to Long-term: If stabilizes above 1860, trend may strengthen, can gradually layout.
If falls back below 1714, need to be cautious of deeper pullback.
⚠️ Note: Risk of trend change may occur around May 1, pay attention to news (such as ETF dynamics, macro data).
I am Yanshen, good at medium-short term contracts, medium-long term spot layout, regularly share investment skills, detailed strategy teaching point @衍神 Come!