分析师董势涨
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The big drop of BTC is inevitable
The rise in the short term is also as expected
I have always emphasized that before the bull market arrives, there will be a significant drop in BTC, and this drop will be exceptionally crazy. ETH will directly hit three digits, and BTC will reach a new low. Many people do not believe it, thinking that I have been bearish, and they say, isn't this a bull market now? Is it really a bull market now? Clearly not, why?
1. Have you ever seen a bull market where only BTC rises while other coins do not? Look at BTC rising from 74,000 to 95,000, an increase of 21,000 USD, while other altcoins have only risen a few points. In the wave of increase last November, countless altcoins multiplied several times, and now altcoins have only risen a few points. Is this a bull market?
2. Have you noticed that there have been frequent positive news recently, such as tariffs being relaxed and the Federal Reserve planning to cut interest rates? Why are these positive news being released at the high point of BTC? Isn't this just to get people to take over? Do you remember what news was around when BTC was near 74,000? Trump was going to increase tariffs globally, then delaying tariffs by 90 days turned out to be fake news, Powell's speeches were ambiguous, and the US stock market plummeted, etc. Why was everything negative around 74,000 and not positive?
3. From 74,000 to 95,000, this round of increase did not have a significant correction, it was basically a one-time surge. With the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates and Japan about to raise interest rates, such a large wave was pulled up completely by market makers. In the absence of increased liquidity in the market, it is clear that this is not right. With so many trapped positions above, pulling up is to let the trapped people exit, and then take all retail investors up together? This is clearly not the goal of the main players. The goal of pulling up is to trap more people in preparation for the subsequent big drop.
4. Every time before a bull market arrives, there will be a deep significant drop, and the drop will be very fierce, just to wash away the trapped positions and retail investors. In the last bull market, BTC was halved before it surged. This time the cleaning will also be very thorough. The main players will not pull up such a heavy vehicle together, so don't be anxious. BTC has not yet corrected, has not yet spiked, and has not yet halved. A real bull market will appear only after a big drop.
Let me remind you: the rise in the short term will not change the major trend of a big drop, and a big drop does not mean that it won't rise now.
The rise in the short term is also as expected
I have always emphasized that before the bull market arrives, there will be a significant drop in BTC, and this drop will be exceptionally crazy. ETH will directly hit three digits, and BTC will reach a new low. Many people do not believe it, thinking that I have been bearish, and they say, isn't this a bull market now? Is it really a bull market now? Clearly not, why?
1. Have you ever seen a bull market where only BTC rises while other coins do not? Look at BTC rising from 74,000 to 95,000, an increase of 21,000 USD, while other altcoins have only risen a few points. In the wave of increase last November, countless altcoins multiplied several times, and now altcoins have only risen a few points. Is this a bull market?
2. Have you noticed that there have been frequent positive news recently, such as tariffs being relaxed and the Federal Reserve planning to cut interest rates? Why are these positive news being released at the high point of BTC? Isn't this just to get people to take over? Do you remember what news was around when BTC was near 74,000? Trump was going to increase tariffs globally, then delaying tariffs by 90 days turned out to be fake news, Powell's speeches were ambiguous, and the US stock market plummeted, etc. Why was everything negative around 74,000 and not positive?
3. From 74,000 to 95,000, this round of increase did not have a significant correction, it was basically a one-time surge. With the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates and Japan about to raise interest rates, such a large wave was pulled up completely by market makers. In the absence of increased liquidity in the market, it is clear that this is not right. With so many trapped positions above, pulling up is to let the trapped people exit, and then take all retail investors up together? This is clearly not the goal of the main players. The goal of pulling up is to trap more people in preparation for the subsequent big drop.
4. Every time before a bull market arrives, there will be a deep significant drop, and the drop will be very fierce, just to wash away the trapped positions and retail investors. In the last bull market, BTC was halved before it surged. This time the cleaning will also be very thorough. The main players will not pull up such a heavy vehicle together, so don't be anxious. BTC has not yet corrected, has not yet spiked, and has not yet halved. A real bull market will appear only after a big drop.
Let me remind you: the rise in the short term will not change the major trend of a big drop, and a big drop does not mean that it won't rise now.
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