How to grasp a high probability of success in short-term trading?

To achieve a high success rate in short-term trading, the key is not how fast you can act or how accurately you can grasp the market, but whether you can focus only on the trades that need to be made.

The first step is to ensure the direction is correct. Regardless of whether you are trading on a 5-minute or 1-minute chart, it is fundamental to first look at the direction of the larger timeframe. For example, if you use the 1-hour chart to determine the trend and it's an uptrend, then you should only look for pullback opportunities to go long on the 5-minute chart; if it's a downtrend, you should only look for short positions on rebounds. Don’t think you can catch everything; you are not the savior of the market. If the direction is wrong, no matter how good the pattern is, it’s useless.

Secondly, only trade the patterns you are most familiar with. The biggest taboo in short-term trading is jumping in just because you see volatility, trading too casually. You should wait for the “golden patterns” that you are familiar with and have verified repeatedly to appear before taking action. For instance, a reversal after a false breakout or a second test at key support and resistance levels are patterns with high winning rates and clear logic. Don’t make blind guesses; wait for your rhythm to align before trading.

Thirdly, control your trading frequency and focus on the few trades where you have confidence. One or two trades a day are enough; don’t keep switching back and forth all day, going long and short on everything. Think about it: if you’re hesitant to add to your position, then it might not be worth trading at all. Truly high-winning-rate trades are not about “quantity,” but about “selectivity.” The more restrained you are, the more stable you will be.

Finally, make sure to review the trades that went the smoothest for you. You will find that those trades that felt the most natural, least hesitant, and most secure often occur in similar rhythms and structures. Summarizing this, it becomes your own “golden template.” Repeat this process, continue to optimize, and constantly amplify your advantageous scenarios; this is the key to achieving stability in short-term trading.

A high success rate in short-term trading = Following the trend + Key levels + Familiar patterns + Few but precise trades + Stable review mechanism. It’s not about quantity, but accuracy; not about speed, but stability.

I will continue to layout my winning trades!

Rather than fumbling around and missing the best entry and exit points leading to losses, it’s better to follow this old Xu’s operations; if you agree with me, come directly to me.