币圈半边天
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India "cuts off water" to Pakistan, how outrageous is the truth?
Do you think India wants to "thirst out Pakistan"? In fact, Modi is planning a bigger scheme.
The overwhelming news of "India cutting off water" these days sounds frightening, right? The loss of 26 lives triggered a snowballing retaliation, and Modi threatened to cut off Pakistan's water sources, with many people on social media starting to mourn for Pakistan. But when we open the map—wait, the Indus River doesn't even pass through India!
What the Indian officials are actually talking about is freezing the Indus Water Treaty (IWT), which is much more insidious than just cutting off water. In 1960, the two countries exchanged three eastern tributaries for three western tributaries, clearly stating the rights of use in black and white. Now India suddenly says, "I'm not giving you hydrological data," clearly inserting a fuse into Pakistan's lifeline.
What do you think Modi really wants to do? It's not to cut off water, it's to release water during the rainy season! In 2022, Pakistan suffered $30 billion in damages from a once-in-a-century flood, affecting 34 million people, which is about 15% of the national population. If India suddenly opens the floodgates upstream... looking at the map, the Jhelum River has already shown abnormal surges in flow, and Pakistani farmlands are beginning to flood—this is the real lethal strike.
Even more outrageous is that Modi has calculated this chess game and knows he won't lose: by 2024, Pakistan's external debt will exceed $100 billion, and nationwide blackouts are frequent, making even the freedom to drink tea hard to maintain. India's GDP growth rate was 7.8% last year, and Modi has already aimed his gun at the presidential election. At this time, playing military adventures is too costly; manipulating water resources not only aligns with "traditional skills" but also turns the international public opinion battlefield into his own home ground.
But the real stabilizing factor is that button—when two nuclear-armed countries are looking for reasons to go to war under a magnifying glass, the melting snow of the Himalayas might just be the savior. After all, no one wants to be the madman who ignites the nuclear powder keg in South Asia; all Modi needs is a negotiating chip to raise the stakes at the negotiating table. Who knows, maybe tomorrow they will wake up and tacitly "restore the hydrological data sharing system"? This is the most absurd script of international politics.
Do you think India wants to "thirst out Pakistan"? In fact, Modi is planning a bigger scheme.
The overwhelming news of "India cutting off water" these days sounds frightening, right? The loss of 26 lives triggered a snowballing retaliation, and Modi threatened to cut off Pakistan's water sources, with many people on social media starting to mourn for Pakistan. But when we open the map—wait, the Indus River doesn't even pass through India!
What the Indian officials are actually talking about is freezing the Indus Water Treaty (IWT), which is much more insidious than just cutting off water. In 1960, the two countries exchanged three eastern tributaries for three western tributaries, clearly stating the rights of use in black and white. Now India suddenly says, "I'm not giving you hydrological data," clearly inserting a fuse into Pakistan's lifeline.
What do you think Modi really wants to do? It's not to cut off water, it's to release water during the rainy season! In 2022, Pakistan suffered $30 billion in damages from a once-in-a-century flood, affecting 34 million people, which is about 15% of the national population. If India suddenly opens the floodgates upstream... looking at the map, the Jhelum River has already shown abnormal surges in flow, and Pakistani farmlands are beginning to flood—this is the real lethal strike.
Even more outrageous is that Modi has calculated this chess game and knows he won't lose: by 2024, Pakistan's external debt will exceed $100 billion, and nationwide blackouts are frequent, making even the freedom to drink tea hard to maintain. India's GDP growth rate was 7.8% last year, and Modi has already aimed his gun at the presidential election. At this time, playing military adventures is too costly; manipulating water resources not only aligns with "traditional skills" but also turns the international public opinion battlefield into his own home ground.
But the real stabilizing factor is that button—when two nuclear-armed countries are looking for reasons to go to war under a magnifying glass, the melting snow of the Himalayas might just be the savior. After all, no one wants to be the madman who ignites the nuclear powder keg in South Asia; all Modi needs is a negotiating chip to raise the stakes at the negotiating table. Who knows, maybe tomorrow they will wake up and tacitly "restore the hydrological data sharing system"? This is the most absurd script of international politics.
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