Analysis of the upcoming market trends
I believe that the remaining time before the interest rate cut in June will see a wide fluctuation in the range of 80,000 to 100,000. After the interest rate cut in June, it will break through the previous high to around 120,000. There will be a significant pullback in May, possibly dropping to 90,000 or even below 85,000, which will be the last opportunity to buy at the bottom. After the pullback, it will quickly rally and start a major bull market trend, likely reaching around 150,000 by July 2025, followed by a downward adjustment to the 100,000 range in August, consolidating until September for the final round of increase, peaking around 200,000 in October, marking the end of the entire bull market cycle. I believe that due to U.S. policy reasons, the probability of the next bull market cycle falling below 50,000 is very low.
The trend of ETH in this cycle has been too weak; I have held some Ethereum and did not expect it to underperform BTC. After the interest rate cut, the upcoming trend of ETH will be similar to BTC, with its peak occurring a few days later than Bitcoin, peaking at 8,000 in October 2025, with an overall trend linked to Bitcoin.
Strong altcoins will not drop below the pullback position of March and will continuously break through upwards, while weak altcoins will still make new lows during BTC pullbacks. Attention should be paid to the following sectors for altcoins: AI, meme, L1, and RWA; these sectors are likely to be the main objects of speculation.
If Bitcoin shows signs of a mid-term top in September 2025, I will liquidate all altcoins, including ETH, and convert everything into Bitcoin, or use a small portion to buy strong currencies linked to BTC and specific altcoin hotspots. I suggest friends sell half to cash out and keep the other half to position for the next trend.