Let’s get serious.
Here’s a pro-level analysis based on $BTC 5-year price history:
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Immediate Chart Analysis (1h timeframe):
• Price: $94,705.88, slightly bouncing after a small dip.
• Parabolic SAR: Dots above the candles earlier (showing sell pressure), but now dots are starting to go below, signaling early signs of a possible upward reversal.
• MACD: Bearish (MACD: -80.37), but flattening out — could hint at bear exhaustion.
• Volume: Declining after a spike — typical during pullbacks before a possible next move.
• Stochastic RSI: Extremely low (4.69) — suggests oversold conditions = good chance of a bounce.
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Bigger Picture (Past 5 Years Overview):
• 2019-2020: Range between $3k - $12k.
• 2021: Massive bull run to $69k (ATH).
• 2022: Bear market — crashed to $15k.
• 2023-2024: Strong recovery — consolidation and slow uptrend.
• 2025 (Now): New highs beyond $90k; trend remains bullish on higher timeframes.
Historical Pattern Insight:
Every Bitcoin cycle (around 4 years, influenced by halvings) shows:
• Massive rally after the halving (last halving was April 2024).
• Peak approximately 12-18 months after halving.
This places the major peak likely around mid-to-late 2025 or early 2026.
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Future Prediction (based on technicals + cycles):
Short-Term (next few days/weeks):
• Possible retest of $93k - $92.5k zone (support).
• If it holds, next leg towards $98k - $100k.
• Watch the breakout at around $95.7k (resistance shown in your chart).
Mid-Term (next few months):
• Target zones: $110k - $125k by late 2025.
• Corrections along the way (-20% dips are normal).
Long-Term (1 year+):
• Peak possibilities: $150k - $220k based on historical fractals.
• After peak, prepare for a deep bear market (80%+ crash historically).
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