$BTC $ETH The Air Force has suffered heavy losses over the past two weeks, but the market structure shows:
If Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, it is expected that only about $1.8 billion in short positions will be liquidated, with relatively small resistance above.
If it pulls back to $85,000, theoretically over $3.5 billion in long positions could be liquidated, but the technical indicators show:
There is strong support at the $90,000 level, with institutional buy orders concentrated, and the probability of a short-term drop below is low (<15%).
- Unless there is a sudden black swan event (such as geopolitical conflict or negative regulatory news), the possibility of a deep pullback is limited.
Short-term trend judgment: The market is more likely to maintain a high-level consolidation, with a game between $90,000 and $100,000, and a breakout requires stronger momentum, but the risk of a sharp decline is temporarily controllable. What are your views on the short-term trend?
