👉Why do you always miss the best entry points? When the market is still hesitant, you need to pull the trigger in advance
—— Sharing a few forward-looking market experiences, seeing is earning
👉The market's "slowpoke": the best entry point
Essentially, the market is a complex system driven by the "institutional accumulation rhythm" and the "retail investor emotional pendulum."
Retail investors need time to reverse their inherent perceptions (the cycle from panic to greed averages 55 days), which means trend reversals are always late but never absent.
👉Remember an iron rule: When your viewpoint triggers a large-scale common-sense rebuttal, it precisely indicates that the market has not yet priced in that logic.
👉How to lay out in advance?
When the market has a consistent expectation, and the implied probability of CME interest rate futures is below 60%, lay out anti-inflation assets like gold and BTC in advance;
Abnormal capital flow: Whale addresses net buy for 7 consecutive days (e.g., ETH increases by over 100,000 in a single day, and exchange inventory decreases), even if prices are flat, it is still a dull knife cutting meat type of accumulation;
Emergence of small coins: A sharp drop in exchange balances + a surge in on-chain transfer volume (e.g., the withdrawal amount of INIT last week accounted for 15% of the circulating supply), even if there are no obvious fluctuations in K-line, it may indicate chip concentration before a pump.
Emotion thermometer: When the crypto circle KOL long-short ratio reaches 3:1, and Google searches for keywords like Bitcoin crash hit a 30-day low, it indicates that professional investors are optimistic, and retail investors have not yet entered, the trend can be sustained;
Conversely, if a project doubles its new users within 3 days, and the frequency of keywords like "get rich quick" and "all in" skyrockets, even if the fundamentals are good, it is a signal of a short-term peak.
👉Always follow:
Position discipline: Advance layout positions should not exceed 20% of total funds, leaving 80% of funds to cope with the market's dull period for a second bottom test.
Conclusion: If you are going to panic, do it early; the essence is to remind us: real trend traders must not only anticipate that the market will be late but also endure self-doubt during lonely holdings.
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