Bitcoin$BTC Recently Broke Through the Strong Resistance Zone of $88,000 with Thunderous Momentum, Targeting the Key Resistance Range of $95,000-$98,000. Technical Indicators Show That This Area Has Accumulated a Large Number of Trapped and Profit-Taking Positions, Making Short-Term Breakthroughs As Difficult as 'Catching the Last Subway in Manhattan at Rush Hour.'
Strategic Recommendations:

  • $95,000 Gradual Reduction: Preserve 40%-50% Profit, Avoid Roller Coaster (Referencing the 35% Correction Lesson from May 2021 Bull Market).

  • Pullback Reaccumulation Strategy: If Pullback Hits $82,000-$85,000 Range (Fibonacci 0.618 Support Level), Can Reaccumulate, Bet on the Second Round Surge.

  • Ambush Small Coins: Bitcoin's Volatile Period is Often Altcoins' Performance Time, Focus on Layer 2 Narrative + Meme Economy Dual-Driven Targets (like Modular Aggregation Protocol, Trump Ecosystem Coins).

POL (Formerly MATIC): Technical Counterattack under Airdrop Carnival

Core Logic:

  • Airdrop Economy Ignites Demand: $POL Officially Launches 'Aggregation Layer Breakthrough Plan,' Stimulating Staked POL Airdrop Subproject Tokens, Directly Boosting Locked Amount by 300%, On-Chain Active Addresses Hit Year-High.

  • Key Resistance Level Breakthrough:
    ✅ $0.22: Upper Bound of Weeks of Volatile Range, Turning into Strong Support After Breakthrough.
    ⚠️ $0.257: Current Important Resistance Level, Intense 'Meat Grinder' Struggle Between Bulls and Bears Here.

  • Technical Signal Resonance:

    • MACD Golden Cross + Histogram Continues to Expand, Momentum Indicators Show Bullish Dominance.

    • Gaussian Channel Upper Boundary Tentative Breakthrough, If Weekly Close is Above $0.257, It May Trigger 'Resistance Becomes Support' Reversal Market.

Risk Warning:

  • RSI Overbought Zone (75+) Hides Adjustment Risks, Suggest Gradual Accumulation (Range of $0.23-$0.25).

  • Watch the Airdrop Unlocking Rhythm, If Unlock Quantity Exceeds 15% of Circulation, It May Trigger Short-Term Selling Pressure.

ADA: Institutional Breakthrough Battle of a Veteran Public Chain

Fundamental Three-Pronged Approach:

  1. Regulatory Dividend: Trump Plans to Nominate Crypto-Friendly Kevin Warsh to Head the Federal Reserve, Probability of SEC Policy Shift Increases, ADA ETF Approval May Speed Up (Referencing BlackRock's SOL ETF Application Case).

  2. Public Chain Moat: Cardano's Ecosystem TVL Exceeds $1.5 Billion, DeFi Locked Amount Ranks in Top Five, Smart Contract Development Activity Remains Top 3 in the Industry.

  3. Narrative Upgrade: Shifting from 'Academic Public Chain' to 'Compliance DeFi Center,' Attracting Traditional Financial Capital (e.g., Grayscale's Parent Company DCG has Laid Out ADA Staking Services).

Technical Signal:

  • Daily Level Breakthrough of Descending Wedge Upper Boundary, Target Price Looking Towards $0.75-$0.85 (Corresponding to 2-3 Times Increase).

  • On-Chain Data: Large Transfers (over 100,000 ADA) have decreased to a year-to-date low, retail concentration has increased, and selling pressure has been almost exhausted.

Operational Recommendations:

  • Left-Side Dollar-Cost Averaging: Gradual Accumulation in the $0.45-$0.50 Range, Set Stop Loss at $0.40 (Yearly Support Level).

  • Right-Side Breakthrough: If Weekly Close is Above $0.65, Can Increase Position to 50%, Bet on Main Uptrend.

Trump Variable: The 'Biggest X Factor' in the Crypto World

Policy Expectations:

  • Federal Reserve Personnel Layout: If Kevin Warsh Takes Office, It May Promote Coexistence of CBDC and Cryptocurrencies, Favoring ADA and Other Compliant Public Chains.

  • SEC Regulatory Shift: Trump once stated to 'Make America the Cryptocurrency Capital,' the approval speed for spot ETFs may accelerate (referencing that the time from application to approval for Bitcoin ETFs has shortened by 60%).

Risk Warning:

  • Policy Reversal: If the 2024 Election Results Change, Crypto-Friendly Policies May Be Overturned (Referencing Biden Administration's Mining Tax Policies).

  • Meme Coin Siphon Effect: If Trump Ecosystem Meme Coins (like MAGA, TRUMP) Continue to Surge, They May Divert Institutional Funds, Delaying the Rise of Value Coins like ADA.

Summary: Survival Rules for the Second Half of the Bull Market

  1. Position Management: Bitcoin Proportion Reduced to Below 50%, 20% Allocated to Mainstream Coins (ADA/SOL), 30% Ambushed Potential Altcoins (POL + Trump Ecosystem).

  2. Emotion Control: Beware of 'FOMO Entry, FUD Liquidation,' Strictly Execute Take Profit and Stop Loss (e.g., Liquidate if Bitcoin Falls Below $80,000).

  3. Information Filtering: Stay Away from 'Hundredfold Coin' Signal Groups, Focus on On-Chain Data (e.g., Stablecoin Inflow, Whale Wallet Movements).

Final Advice: The Bull Market is a Meat Grinder for Retail Investors and a Money Printer for Smart Money. Remember—Profits are Made, Not Gambled.

#币安Alpha上新