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DiscusFish神鱼
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The root of many decision-making errors often lies in treating uncertainty as manageable risk
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DiscusFish神鱼
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没经常性亏钱说明努力程度不够😭(群友的图)
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许多决策错误的根源,往往在于将不确定性当作可管理的风险; 风险 (Risk):未来状态集合已知,且每种状态的概率可估; 不确定性:未来状态本身或其概率分布未知,无法用统计规律完整刻画。 决策者应把不确定性当作设计变量,从“度量-控制”范式转向“发现-适应”范式 真正高效的决策,不是把世界简化到可测风险,而是让自己在不确定的世界里具备不过度受损、却能捕获上行的能力。
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投资是唯一一个“做得越少,赚得越多” 的职业
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我们真正害怕的,不是波动,而是我们无法承受损失。 所以问题是: “如何构建一个既能放大上行、又能兜住下限的投资系统?”
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大家来聊聊:目前我们正处于图上的阶段几了?是时候fangshouyibo?
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