#BTC #PEPE 🗣️ Trump, MOVE, and Bitcoin: How One Avalanche Can Enrich Us All — Arthur Hayes Macro Recap
Arthur Hayes compares recent market chaos to triggering an avalanche — and believes we’ve just seen BTC’s local bottom.
• Trump’s early-April tariff scare cracked markets: stocks fell, MOVE hit 172, BTC dropped to $74.5K
• Within days, tariffs were scaled back, the Fed signaled support, and Treasury’s Bessent floated bond buybacks
• Hayes says this revealed the threshold for intervention — and how liquidity gets injected
Buybacks ≠ QE, but close: Swapping new Treasuries for old frees up RV capital, reduces volatility, and steadies yields. Not infinite liquidity, but enough to reset the market short term.
It mirrors Q3 2022: panic, quiet liquidity, BTC rally. Now Bessent plays the same game — different tools, same effect.
Next catalyst: May 1 Treasury QRA — bigger issuance = more liquidity = risk-on.
Altseason setup: After BTC reclaims $110K, high-yield altcoins with real holder value will follow.
Crypto wins either way.