$BTC $ETH $SOL

Dissolution at Zero Hour

Bitcoin reappears at 949, will altcoins double in a single day again? Are many people's intentions becoming chaotic? Has the entire market gone crazy shouting that the bull market has returned after a round of one-sided rises? At this time, we should still maintain rationality, avoid FOMO, do not chase highs, and do not forget the pain you have endured in the past.

This round of price increase broke through 88, resulting in the largest increase in two months, which is somewhat similar to the market situation in July last year. When everyone begins to shift to a bullish mindset, an 8.05 appeared. This daily line indeed showed a larger pin than the previous 76—694k. However, there is no 1M, which is also why I maintain my view that the rebound can be observed for 20 days, and the main wave of reversal is still lacking a bit. This is not because I'm short on the market, but because the moving averages above the daily level have not yet intersected. Even if they do intersect, there will still be a pullback, not to mention that we cannot consider the main wave without the moving averages diverging.

The prediction level is not high; the cycle prediction is quite high, and the trading volume looks good. Although the indicators are lagging, they won't deceive like news. Below the daily line, everything is overbought, and the highs continuously bring good news. Remember the reasoning I mentioned on the 7th about Ethereum at 1380 facing constant bad news, and I am even more convinced that 1380 is the bottom. The 12-hour divergence is progressing slowly and will definitely reach 1750; the 1800 resistance breakthrough will also pull back. Of course, the limit is at 1915. So, manage your risks accordingly.

The major coin finally showed significant selling at 949 tonight, the one-sided market has ended, and we are entering a sideways consolidation. There might still be new highs in the next three days, but it is also preparing for a 1-4 hour divergence. The 15-minute level is 925, the 1-hour level is 915, and 908 will have relatively strong support. This is the support at the short level; the 4-hour needs to consolidate, so the short-term long strategy remains unchanged for the next two days. Short positions below 93 can consider exiting, while those above 93 should hold on a bit longer. The downward target of 885-864 remains valid unless the moving average at the daily level turns upward.

Sol has reached 154, close to the peak of 155-159, first looking at 147-145 downwards. Take it step by step, eat one bite at a time; taking too big a step can lead to error.

In conclusion: LTC and AAVE can all exit as the 12-hour divergence has completed. The previously predicted levels of 85-95-150-170 have basically been met. Of course, for spot trading, you can reduce your position and continue to hold. You can also add to your position on pullbacks.

Remember: Look at the levels for contracts, and also look at the levels for spot trading.