After Bitcoin (#Metaplanet增持比特币 ) surged to a high of $100,000, it entered a correction mode, leaving many investors confused and entangled, speculating whether this is merely a brief pause in a bull market or if the trend has reached its end.
Let's first analyze the key factor of Bitcoin's halving mechanism. It is well-known that Bitcoin's supply is halved every four years, and historical data shows that after the previous halvings, the market typically experiences a significant price peak about 1 to 1.5 years later. Based on this timeline, the end of 2025 to early 2026 is more likely to be the peak moment for the market, and the current correction appears to be more like a halftime break. Comparing the extent of the correction, this time it has only dropped by 30%, while looking back at 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin experienced significant corrections of 45% and 53% respectively. In contrast, the current correction is much milder.