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#美股下挫
Target 200 Week Moving Average
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纳斯达克昨晚剧烈波动，开盘先快速跌到0.5，然后又迅速拉升，现在已经到了牛市支撑带下沿，而“比特币/纳斯达克”居然跌破了上升通道，说明大家对纳斯达克牛市支撑带的下沿能否成功突破很警惕
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纳斯达克昨晚剧烈波动，开盘先快速跌到0.5，然后又迅速拉升，现在已经到了牛市支撑带下沿，而“比特币/纳斯达克”居然跌破了上升通道，说明大家对纳斯达克牛市支撑带的下沿能否成功突破很警惕
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目测今晚纳斯达克冲击牛市支撑带下沿19890，比特币随之冲击96300，然后伴随明天日本央行宣布利率决议，纳斯达克掉头二次探底200周均线（15800左右），比特币受“比特币/纳斯达克”调节，具体下跌位置还需要观察
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补充：比特币具体对标的回调点位，由比特币/纳斯达克来“调控”，还需要结合其他指标综合判断
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如果我对纳斯达克的预测正确（我认为正确概率很大）：纳斯达克将在牛市支撑带下沿（19890左右），迎来二次探底，目标位置200周均线（15800左右）。 这样的话，对标比特币回调点位在96700（刚好是0.786），纳斯达克牛市支撑带下沿在19822（刚好是0.618），这样的话比特币/纳斯达克=4.87，刚好就是现在的指标范围 逻辑是： 1、纳斯达克反弹第一次冲击牛市支撑带，在关税战没有明朗情况下，不会一次冲破； 2、美股不够惨，无法倒逼美联储货币政策转向，美股需要表演“谁敢比我惨”，真正倒逼鲍威尔的是市场的惨状，不是川大爷的口炮。
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