$TRUMP
DYOR
### **Key Observations**
1. **Price Action**:
- Current price: **$8.17** (-5.33% today).
- 24h range: **$8.16 (low)** to **$8.68 (high)**. The price is near the 24h low, suggesting potential support.
2. **Moving Averages (MA)**:
- **MA(5)**: 8.27 | **MA(10)**: 8.35.
- Price is below both short-term MAs, indicating **bearish momentum**.
3. **RSI(6)**: **22.84** (oversold territory). This hints at a possible short-term bounce, but downtrends can sustain oversold conditions.
4. **Volume**:
- Current volume (182k TRUMP) is below MA(5) (330k) and MA(10) (343k), signaling weaker selling pressure.
5. **Order Book**:
- Strong bid support at lower prices (e.g., 6,646 TRUMP at 8.16).
- Immediate resistance at 8.17 (current price level).
6. **Trend**:
- Significant declines over all timeframes (e.g., -26.66% over 30 days).
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### **Recommendation**
**Short-Term Trade**:
- **Cautious Long** with tight risk management:
- **Entry**: Near $8.16 (24h low) if price holds and RSI rises.
- **Target**: MA(5) at $8.27 (1.2% upside).
- **Stop Loss**: Below $8.15 (break of support).
**Rationale**:
- Oversold RSI and proximity to 24h low suggest a potential bounce.
- Low volume indicates weak selling momentum, but the broader downtrend limits upside.
**Alternative Scenario**:
- **Short** if price breaks below $8.16 with increasing volume. Target $7.90–$8.00.
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### **Risk Notes**
- The asset is a **meme coin**, prone to volatility.
- Use tight stops and monitor volume/RSI for confirmation.
- Avoid overleveraging due to high-risk nature.
**Final Decision**:
**Short-term long with strict stop-loss** (preferred due to oversold RSI), but prepare to reverse if support breaks.