🇹🇷 Central Bank of Turkey Shocks Markets with Interest Rate Hike to 46%! 🔺💸
The Central Bank of Turkey raised its key interest rate by 350 basis points, taking it from 42.5% to a whopping 46% — a bold step that marks the end of its recent easing cycle.
Why the sudden hike?
The CBRT is trying to fight back against rising inflation and global economic uncertainty, especially with new tariff tensions heating up around the world.
Key Changes Announced:
Benchmark repo rate: 🔼 From 42.5% to 46%
Overnight lending rate: 🔼 From 46% to 49%
Overnight borrowing rate: 🔼 From 41% to 44.5%
Just months ago, the bank had been cutting rates. Between December and March, it reduced the policy rate from 47.5% to 42.5%. But now, it's doing a full 180.
What’s Going On?
In 2024, inflation in Turkey hit a jaw-dropping 75%. Thanks to aggressive rate hikes, it cooled to 38% by March 2025. But inflation is creeping back — and fast.
The CBRT warned that:
> “Core goods inflation is expected to rise slightly in April due to recent financial market developments.”
Plus, domestic demand is stronger than expected, despite a slowdown earlier this year.
Global Trouble Brewing... 🌍
The bank is also keeping an eye on rising protectionism. While it didn’t call out the U.S. directly, it clearly referred to President Trump's new 10% tariffs on Turkish goods. (Turkey matches that with a 10% tariff on U.S. imports.)
For comparison:
🇺🇸 U.S. tariffs on EU imports: 20%
🇺🇸 U.S. tariffs on China: 145% (!)
What This Means for Turks 🇹🇷
Prices may rise again
Monetary policy will stay tight
CBRT will act fast if inflation gets worse
On the bright side, the lira got a small boost after the rate hike. It had hit a record low of ₺42 to $1, but now it’s back to around ₺38.
Bottom Line:
Turkey’ is hitting the brakes hard to control inflation, even if it shocks the markets. With global trade wars, local unrest, and inflation fears, the road ahead looks bumpy — but the CBRT is ready to steer through it.
Stay tuned!
