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A crucial day for the U.S. economy with the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March 2025. A report particularly awaited by investors around the world, in a global macroeconomic context that continues to navigate uncertainties and mixed signals. The world of cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin in the forefront, has also been closely watching these numbers.
Analysts' expectations:
* General Inflation: Expected to slow to +2.5% month-on-month, down from +2.8% recorded in February.
* Core Inflation (excluding food and energy): Stability expected at +3.0%.
A figure in line with expectations or, even better, lower, could further fuel the narrative of cooling inflation, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy in the near future.
The official data revealed:
* General CPI: An encouraging +2.4% month-on-month, slightly below analysts' expectations.
* Core CPI: A solid +2.8%, also below forecasts.
Implications and Reactions:
These inflation data, indicating a slowdown in both the general and core components, could be interpreted by the markets as a positive signal. A declining inflation rate could give the Federal Reserve more room to consider a pause or even a reversal of its restrictive interest rate policy.
What does this mean for Bitcoin?
In a potential monetary easing context, assets like Bitcoin, often seen as alternative stores of value, could benefit from renewed interest from investors. Lower pressure on interest rates could make more traditional fixed-income investments less attractive, pushing capital towards riskier assets but with greater potential returns.
It remains essential to closely monitor the upcoming moves of the Federal Reserve and the market reactions in the coming hours and days.