#交易心理学 wants to make money in the cryptocurrency world must first understand Trump's big direction
Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, ostensibly to alleviate the U.S. debt crisis, but the true intention is to pave the way for increasing tariffs and disrupting the global economy. If tariffs are hastily increased, the U.S. will become a global enemy; Trump uses the excuse of the U.S. debt crisis to target the Federal Reserve. Powell doesn't need to cooperate, just oppose, and Trump can maintain his 'victim' persona to apply continuous pressure, providing political and public opinion space for imposing tariffs externally. The two appear to be in conflict, but in reality, they have formed a tacit understanding, performing a play of 'the White House against Wall Street'.
China is the only country that has conducted comprehensive and reciprocal countermeasures, falling right into Trump's trap. Other countries primarily rely on negotiations; although China's countermeasures are logical, they actually trigger expectations of renminbi depreciation, increase capital outflow pressure, hinder the internationalization process of the renminbi, and simultaneously pressure domestic assets and consumption. Trump hopes to provoke systemic financial turbulence through China's proactive counterattack, undermining the stability of the Chinese economy.
After announcing comprehensive tariff increases, on April 7, a panic sell-off occurred in global markets, with many countries' stock markets plummeting. When the market generally expected a meltdown in U.S. stocks, the Trump administration forcefully pushed U.S. stocks into positive territory. This action clearly indicates that tariffs and trade wars can not only strike other countries but also manipulate market sentiment, achieving precise harvesting of liquidity amidst global panic. The decline is bait, the rise is harvesting, and the rhythm is completely controlled by the U.S.
Although Trump has not publicly named China in all his foreign strategies, every point targets China: the trade war hits China's export mainstay; promoting the Russia-Ukraine truce, developing Ukraine to replace part of the U.S. and Europe’s energy and resource dependence on China; sanctioning Russia to preset tools for future financial and technological blockades against China; promoting 'de-risking' of supply chains, which is essentially systemic 'de-China-fication'; adjusting Europe's energy structure, squeezing out Chinese and Russian influence.
The U.S. debt crisis is merely a cover; containing China is the goal. Trump is not making random moves, but rather planning precisely. A complete script of 'interest rate cuts - tariffs - stock market crash - market rally' is unfolding. Although the two U.S. parties are in conflict, the commitment to contain China has never wavered. China is facing a structural, highly mature systemic game of control over rhythm.