#非农数据
Important data worth your attention is coming tonight, the focus of global trading!!
As countries digest the increased tariffs, important non-farm data will be released tonight at 8:30 PM, followed by Powell's speech!
With expectations of an economic slowdown, the market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement four rate cuts in 2025, with cuts of 25 basis points in June, July, September, and December.
However, the importance of Powell's speech will outweigh the non-farm employment data; the market has fully digested the expectations for a rate cut in June, but all comments from Federal Reserve officials on the tariff issue have been more hawkish. If Powell's wording also turns hawkish, then be cautious as the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts may undergo serious repricing.
According to CME's 'FedWatch': the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in May is 68.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 31.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate until June is 18.5%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 58.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 22.9%.
According to data statistics, Strategy purchased 22,048 BTC through ATM issuance and preferred stock issuance from March 24 to March 30, 2025, with a total amount of $1.92 billion and an average price of $86,969 per BTC.
As of March 30, 2025, Strategy holds a total of 528,185 BTC, with a total purchase cost of $35.63 billion and an average purchase price of $67,458 per BTC.
Strategy founder Michael Saylor recently stated in a speech, "I can stand here and tell you that I believe the price of BTC will rise to $13 million in 20 years."
Real Vision founder Raoul Pal tweeted, "We don’t know where the bottom is, we only know we are (Bitcoin) in the bottom range."
Friendly reminder:
The market has been very volatile recently. If you feel uncertain about the direction, try to reduce operations! Wait for the market to give a signal!!
Don’t go all-in; increase positions moderately when there are dips. Surviving is the key!
