If retail investors can truly hold without selling, won’t the main force have no way to deal with that?
Having been in the crypto space for a long time, everyone has heard this saying: 'Only when most retail investors surrender will the main force push the price up.'
So here’s the question—if retail investors all stubbornly hold until the end and refuse to sell, what can the main force do?
This question sounds pretty reasonable, but reality is often harsher than imagination.
If you are not the last believer, the main force has a thousand ways to make you give up your chips.
The crypto space, in essence, is not a financial market, but rather a training ground for human nature. Do you think that just holding on means you can win? In fact, you are just an NPC in the main force's script.
The ultimate fate of most retail investors is to 'sell low and buy high', being harvested countless times without realizing it.
Today, let’s talk about what methods the main force has to force you to give up your chips if retail investors really band together and refuse to sell.
1. Market smashing: Creating panic, directly destroying your confidence.
The purpose of smashing the market is never just to make prices fall, but to make you afraid, to completely break you.
For example, in this wave of market movements, ETH dropped nearly 60% in three months, with most people's average position cost between 3200-3400.
You won’t sell? Then I’ll keep smashing until you doubt your life.
Let's look at a more extreme example, the altcoin RAY—
Assuming you chase in at 5, and it drops 90%, do you think it has hit the bottom? No, it can still drop another 80%.
5 → 0.5, and if it falls another 80%, you're left with 0.1, which is equivalent to 100 turning into 10, then 2.
Then I pull it back 10 times from 0.1 to 1, have you broken even? No, but you see it has risen 10 times, would you run?
You won’t run? Good, I’ll pull it back to near your cost, making you think a bull market is coming, and you won’t want to sell.
Then there's a wave of a sharp drop, making you doubt life.
Do you think you are competing against the market? In fact, you are just a number in the main force's script.
Why must we choose valuable coins?
Because valuable coins fall to a certain extent, smart money will buy the dip, providing support at the bottom.
ETH drops to 1000, will anyone buy? Let me tell you, a lot of people are waiting to pick it up.
But for junk altcoins, no one comes to the rescue; when they drop, they drop. You take four years to break even, only to be trapped again in the next round.
2. Downward drift + sideways movement: Making you desperate, forcing you to 'cut losses regularly'.
A sharp drop causes panic, but the most tormenting is the long period of downward drift + sideways movement.
Especially for those who have leveraged, after a crash, they enter a phase of sideways decline, and eventually can't hold on.
Leverage means you have to pay back money, the financial pressure is huge, forcing you to slowly cut losses at the bottom.
Wealthy people can dollar-cost average, while the poor person's dollar-cost averaging is just 'cutting losses regularly'.
The worst is a long period of sideways movement: hope → despair → hope again → despair again → complete collapse.
Every night your mindset explodes; the doubts from family and friends become the last straw, you sell, and you feel relieved.
So, most people end up selling at the lowest point.
You think you're cutting your chips? In fact, what you're cutting away is your confidence, your mental exhaustion, and the fatigue of not being able to hold on.
You can withstand the price, but can you endure the ravages of time?
3. Wide fluctuations: Killing the diamond hands.
Well, some say: 'I have strong faith, high understanding, I can hold on!'
Is the main force afraid you can hold on? No, they are not afraid. They specifically create big fluctuations to destroy you.
For example, ETH, did you buy in at 1500?
Pulled to 4000, you won't sell? Good, it’s smashed down to 2000.
Are you still holding? Pull it back to 4000.
At this point, some people can’t hold back anymore and start to run.
Are you still not selling?
Alright, smash it again, smash it until you doubt your life.
Going back and forth like this, you might hold onto the coins, but your spirit has long collapsed.
In the end, you’ll find that you’ve experienced a full cycle of bull and bear markets, made no profit at all, and been mocked by those around you, with your wife calling you an idiot.
The most terrifying thing is not losing money, but the insane mental exhaustion brought on by time and environment.
Years pass, and not only have you not made money, but you’ve also missed countless opportunities.
4. News interference: Making your mind chaotic and at a loss.
In the end, the main force will still use news to mess with your mindset.
Add to that the sharp drop in US stocks, funds selling coins, exchanges crashing, and hackers stealing coins; even if there are no substantial negative factors, as long as they can mess with your mindset, that's enough.
The market has never been something that can be explained by technical analysis; what’s played in the crypto space is human nature.
Summary: Can you really hold until the end?
If you can buy low and sell high, stable as a rock, the main force indeed has no way to deal with you.
But the question is, how many people can actually do that?
The vast majority of people are not.
I understand the humanity in the market too well; you guys are destined to be toyed with by the main force until your emotions are exhausted, then you’ll cut losses and exit.
You might clear out at 4000, and then ETH rises to 20000, and you chase back in at the top.
This story repeats itself over and over in the crypto space.
So, we don't win by 'holding positions', but by winning through understanding.
You have to study your opponent, understand how the main force plays chess, rather than just focusing on what move you want to make.
Only by seeing through the game rules do you qualify to survive until the end.
There are no perpetual money-making deities in this world, only strategies that allow for small gains. When you think carefully and have wise guidance, you will progress quickly; as long as you practice diligently, you can achieve your dreams of freedom!
