🇺🇸The likelihood of a recession in the USA in 2025 is 40%.

According to Coin Bureau founder Nick Pakrin, the USA has a 40% chance of entering a recession in 2025 amid trade wars and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The Fed, according to his forecast, will cut rates twice by 0.25%, but will not return to quantitative easing.

Trump's policy of cutting government spending and jobs may inadvertently increase the risk of recession.

Market fear is heightened by tariffs, which have already caused BTC to drop 24% from the January peak of $109K.

DXY has sharply fallen, and capital is leaving the USA for Europe.

Pressure on the crypto market may persist until April — until a possible cancellation or easing of tariff policy.

Analysts believe the market can recover if trade conflicts are resolved.