Trump's tariff policy is unpredictable. A few days ago, he suggested a relaxation, but last night he stated that tariffs on 'non-American manufactured cars' would increase by 25%.

Affected by this news, the U.S. stock market, which had just recovered, began to fall again yesterday.

Due to Trump's radicalism, many former allies have been drifting apart, announcing a strong counterattack and implementing retaliatory measures, such as Canada and the EU.

Subsequently, Trump threatened, saying, 'If the EU and Canada join forces to harm the U.S. economically, I will impose massive tariffs on both of them, far exceeding current plans, to 'protect' these two best friends in history!'



Changes occur daily; after a half-month lull, we're back to 'Trump time.' He may be quite active in the coming week, and significant fluctuations in the market are expected. Certain strategies will be necessary.

However, I personally believe that as time goes on, the market will eventually develop immunity to 'Trump's rhetoric' because no matter how much harm is done, Trump will not let the U.S. fall into the risks of being a 'global enemy' and economic collapse. The current tug-of-war feels more like playing Tai Chi.

Currently, apart from Bitcoin and Ethereum, several relatively popular altcoin ETFs are in the application process.

The approval of altcoin ETFs faces certain difficulties; size and stability may become significant obstacles. However, if successful, it should completely change the trajectory of the approved tokens, which will not resemble the trend of ETH since Ethereum is still too heavyweight.

The popular mainstream coins applying for ETFs include Dogecoin, Litecoin, XRP, Solana, and Polkadot.

The success rates for these applications should be relatively high for Litecoin, Solana, and Dogecoin, while Polkadot is likely to lag, and XRP is still heavily centralized, having just emerged from a lawsuit, making it seem quite difficult.

Solana has a market cap of 71.1 billion USD, ranking 6th, claiming to be the U.S. Ethereum. Supported by American capital, it has the most applicants. Although it is PoS, due to the approval of ETH and the recent change in SEC leadership, the chances of it being approved are very high. As a competitor to ETH, if the U.S. decides to support it, ETH may face a tougher road ahead. The struggle may last for several years, and perhaps one day Solana will improve its on-chain ecosystem and technology, but everything is uncertain. At least in the past two years and in the near future, Solana's goal is to help those capital that collapsed with FTX.

Dogecoin has a market cap of 29.2 billion USD, ranking 8th. Like LTC, it is also PoW, backed by millions of loyal fans, including the biggest fan, Elon Musk, though its application progress is somewhat slower.

Litecoin has a market cap of 7.1 billion USD, ranking 20th. It has existed for a long time, is sufficiently decentralized, and is a PoW that meets SEC standards. Its downside is relatively low liquidity.

At the end of January, the Litecoin spot ETF submitted by Canary Capital became the first Altcoin 19b-4 application document recognized by the SEC, which is considered a significant advancement. Currently, only Litecoin has been submitted and recognized.

On March 21, the SEC also stated that PoW mining does not constitute a securities offering, which increases the chances of its ETF being approved.



By the latest this year and at the earliest in the second quarter, there will inevitably be a result, whether it's a delay, rejection, or success, which will change Litecoin's current trend.

Let's take a look at Litecoin's historical trends:

Litecoin has performed poorly in the last two bull markets, causing its market cap ranking to drop from the top few before 2018 to 20th. Compared to Dogecoin, Litecoin's volatility is lower, but its gains in bull markets are also smaller, making its previous title of 'Silver' quite misleading.

For example, looking at the trend in the past month, the first drop was from around 140 to about 90, then it took half a month to pull back to 140, performing very well last month.

The second drop went back below 90, which is a relatively poor performance. This may be related to the high leverage and too many short-term profit-taking positions following good news. In the past half month, while the overall market has risen, altcoins generally rose more than 30%, Litecoin's increase was less than 10%.


Wang Ge first bought Litecoin in 2016, if I remember correctly, for about 2-3 USD. After selling during the first bull market, he began to pursue new coins and has paid much less attention to Litecoin.

During the overall bullish market phase, Litecoin is relatively weak and hard to endure.

However, it does have a certain degree of risk resistance and anti-drawdown ability during the risk period, and still has some potential in the long run, especially before the ETF application period, where there is likely to be no trapped positions. Long-term, this position also does not need to worry about being trapped.

In summary:

In the past two rounds (6-7 years), Litecoin's performance has been poor, but its current news is indeed excellent. Especially after experiencing this round of two years of unusually weak performance, Litecoin may see a reversal in the next round. From a short-term perspective, Litecoin has shown signs of stagnation and a temporary misalignment with Bitcoin's exchange rate. If Bitcoin sees another pullback, Litecoin's decline may also be limited, with a quick rebound.

In short, in the short term, Litecoin's risk is lower than that of most altcoins, even Ethereum, making it suitable for long-term investment and short-term hedging; minor pullbacks could be entry points.

The views in this article represent personal opinions. Market trends are ever-changing; please exercise caution.