📉【Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Expectations Cool, How Will Bitcoin Perform in the Short Term?】
According to the latest analysis, the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on March 20 is approximately 2%-3%, with the probability of maintaining rates unchanged exceeding 97%! Core reasons:
1. Inflation Resilience + Strong Labor Market, Recession Not Yet Arrived
2. Tariff Policies Driving Up Prices, Increasing Policy Uncertainty
3. Standard Chartered/Huatai and other institutions predict: Possible shift to easing after May
💡 Impact on Bitcoin $BTC :
✅ Short Term: If dovish signals are released, it may stimulate a rebound; but if balance sheet reduction accelerates, caution against a pullback is needed
✅ Long Term: Start of a rate cut cycle = Liquidity Feast, may push BTC to break 200,000 (Standard Chartered prediction)
❌ Risk Points: Hard Landing of the Economy + Escalation of Trade Friction = Safe-Haven Sell-Off
🎯 My View: Short-term fluctuations do not change the long-term bullish trend, focus on the policy shift window in May, and accumulate quality assets on dips!
#Bitcoin #FedDecision #CryptoTrading
